Does anyone know what the hell is going on?
Jason Dufner sorta comes out of nowhere and puts up 2 wins and a 2nd in just under 30 days. Rickie gets his first taste. A guy named Bubba wins The Masters, which makes some sense since Augusta is in Georgia and Bubba is definitely a good old boy name. Two guys from across the pond – Rory and Luuuuke – are playing ping pong with World Numero Uno, which is kinda cool since England and Northern Ireland finally got over that Troubles thing after 30 years or so. Phil seems to be phloundering and Tiger’s in open freefall.
So how to handicap the US Open? Start with the course. Olympic’s Lake Course is short but wicked. Fairways tilt the opposite direction of the hole, as in a dogleg left tilts left-to-right, so your tee shots seem to run away from the green when they hit the ground. Many approach shots are uphill to small and partially obscured greens. Even in June, the air is cool and the ball isn’t quite so hot. And the new bentgrass greens will help level the playing field between those who have played there and those who have not.
And the winner is??? Not necessarily a bomber. More likely a mild-mannered mid-length guy with accurate irons and a hot short game. Look who won in the past – Lee Jantzen (1998), Scott Simpson (1987), Billy Casper (1966) and Jack Fleck (1955). You get the idea. Olympic has never been a course for names like Hogan, Snead and Nelson. Or Jack, Arnie, Gary and Lee. Or even Miller, Watson and Woods. The big names have always been spooked there. It’s too quirky, too confusing, too tight and, well, just too weird. But a fair and stern test of golf nonetheless.
And the 2012 winner is??? Damned if I know, but I’ll be watching. Rooting for somebody once they make the cut and the field takes shape. Maybe I’ll go for a longshot and root for the underdog. Or maybe a grizzled old veteran who can’t run with the bombers but he’s got plenty of game when the big dog can’t hunt. Or maybe I’ll just pick an interesting guy that looks just a little too far back in the pack, but would be a great human interest story if he pulled it off. You know, the really unexpected (Ben Curtis) life-changing thing.
Because those are the kind of guys who win the Open at Olympic.
Flint Nelson, Champions Club GM